COMMENT: Title: Expensive Martin
Re your Weblog: Poland’s New Authorities, Professional-Battle, Professional-EU
I stored a replica of your weblog ‘Poland & Niger ‘ Posted Aug 9, 2023.
together with a display-shot of the August projected ECM for Poland highlighting October twenty sixth as the subsequent turning level:
FYI, it was at the present time that President Duda known as for a brand new Polish parliament to convene after the October fifteenth elections, one to be led by former (unelected) EU President Donald Tusk. It will not be a whole Left flip, extra of a veering Left, as he wanted to kind a coalition in an effort to kind a authorities.
Nonetheless, Tusk’s first port of name was the European Fee, the place a beforehand withheld grant of 59 Billion Euro was ready for him, as soon as Poland had complied with European Fee directives – which Tusk is eager to do.
I worry for Poland’s future and worry we’re being offered down the river as the subsequent buffer in line after Ukraine has misplaced the subsequent batch of 500,000 drafted troopers.
Thanks for all of the work that you’ve got put into Socrates; its projections are wonderful.
Anon
REPLY: It has been an enchanting discovery that has focused so many issues exactly to the very day. In 1985, I used to be known as in for they had been seeking to create the G5, which turned the Plaza Accord that got down to pressure the manipulation of the greenback decrease to assist scale back the commerce deficit. I wrote even to President Reagan on the time.
I even took the again web page of the Economist in July 1985 for 3 weeks to announce that the mannequin had forecast that was the top of deflation, the height within the greenback, and the low in gold. For 40 years, I’ve been attempting to reveal that this mannequin confirms that there was a enterprise cycle that may be projected a long time upfront.
From the 1985 low in our mannequin, which projected the height within the greenback, the subsequent turning level was 1987. That produced the 1987 Crash exactly to the day, after which the subsequent turning level not solely pinpointed the height within the Japanese economic system and the Bubble High of their share market however projected the collapse of Communism as nicely. The Pi Goal produced the day of the ERM Disaster in Europe, after which the wave led to 1994.25, and as soon as once more, that was the exact day of the low within the US share market. That projected the shift of the capital flows, which initially moved from Japan to South East Asia. Nonetheless, the capital flows returned to the USA and Europe, anticipating the approaching Euro in 1998.
I used to be surprised when the 1987 Crash occurred exactly on that day. As a result of the low was the very ECM date of October nineteenth, 1987, I informed purchasers that the low was in place and we’d make new highs going into the subsequent turning level, 1989.95. That forecast was additionally appropriate, regardless that many thought it was loopy and unattainable. The banks attributed the mannequin’s accuracy to my affect just because my agency was the most important institutional adviser worldwide. They complained to the Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee, who even subpoenaed me, demanding I flip over a listing of all my purchasers worldwide and they might show I used to be manipulating the world economic system. I defended towards them in courtroom and gained.
The subsequent wave, #932, lined 1994.25 to 2002.85. The US share market bottomed on the exact day 1994.25; it rallied and peaked exactly on July twentieth, 1998, and bottomed on 2002.85, three days after that focus on. This wave noticed the Asian Foreign money Disaster as a turning level, the collapse of Russia 1998, taking down Lengthy-Time period Capital Administration, and the Pi Goal produced the exact day of the 9/11 assault. So, this was an extremely correct wave.
I’m working arduous on attempting to complete the guide on this mannequin. I’m attempting to undergo the waves and to indicate there’s a hidden order behind what folks suppose is simply this random stroll principle, which was devised by individuals who couldn’t comprehend cycles. As I’ve stated many occasions in class, they stated the economic system is random in order that the federal government can manipulate us at will – i.e., Keynesian economics. However that has failed, and I hope to get this out, documenting that the worldwide economic system will not be random. Every part is related, and we should begin trying on the accuracy of this mannequin that the New Yorker Journal known as The Secret Cycle.
It is about time we take that small step ahead for mankind. If we perceive how we’re all related, together with local weather and illness, then perhaps we’d cease this insane one-dimensional evaluation that plagues humanity – oh, it has warmed since 1850, so it have to be fossil fuels.
